Tipping & Ratings: Before Round 1, 2020

Let's lead off with ratings. This is after the ratings were diminished by the off-season, but they are compared to what they would be if I was using last year's rating system with rating fall-off implemented. The main thing affecting ratings is the inclusion of more matches impacting them (31 instead of the previous 20), …

Predictions (?): Before Round 1, 2020

This is weird. Welcome to the 2020 AFL season, where the matches don't exist and the fixture doesn't matter. The decision for each team to play 17 times has been made (seemingly against the players' wishes), and without an actual fixture I've had to make do. I made the following assumptions when building a fixture …

Stattraction in 2020

Hello everyone. I thought I'd write about my changes for AFL 2020, what I didn't end up changing, and why I'm not posting predictions here for AFLW and Counter-Strike yet. Stattraction Dual Ratings: 2020 Edition is ready to give the AFL Men's season a crack, and I thought I'd give a little summary on what …

Predictions & Ratings: Before Finals Week 2, 2019

This week, Richmond were the clear winners. They jumped from 25% to 36% in premiership odds to be outright favourites by a decent margin. Collingwood also jumped from 10% to 21% after a somewhat surprising win over Geelong to put themselves in a good position to achieve back-to-back grand finals. For the losers of the …

Predictions: Before Finals, 2019

With the home & away season done, I guess I'm left with 2 regular graphics. Firstly, here are the regular finals simulations. Geelong are back as slim premiership favourites after trailing Brisbane by 0.2% last week. Brisbane's loss to Richmond has proven to be a big difference, with Brisbane losing 4.7%. But the biggest losers …

Tipping & Ratings: After Round 23, 2019

A good round to finish the home & away season. Hawthorn had a huge upset, but the round was fairly predictable outside of that. I'm not sure that's a good thing, but we witnessed some good footy, which I guess it what matters in the end? We have a 4th top-rated team in 4 weeks. …

Predictions: After Round 22, 2019

The Bulldogs had the most improved standing this week, with Essendon just behind them. Both teams capitalised after their biggest rivals for top 8 positions (Adelaide and Port) both fell away. Essendon can no longer miss finals, while Bulldogs are the most likely team to take that last finals position. There isn't a lot of …