Here is my last mean position ladder of the year. Melbourne dropped off from their odd positioning last week and Sydney went the opposite way to overtake them. Hawthorn are now among the top 4 and have all but locked up a finals position, after GWS were the third team to do so over the … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 21, 2018
A solid performance on the weekend, outperforming every other Squiggle tipper in terms of tips and =2nd in terms of MAE. It's a pity the flawless Saturday didn't continue into Sunday, but still a great performance. Richmond have begun to close in on Melbourne's top spot, while Essendon have also had a handy increase in … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 21, 2018
Before we dive in - an explanation. I've had a virus this week, so I missed a few posts. Yes, again. In addition to that, something went seriously wrong with the simulations and I haven't had time to see why Melbourne's premiership chances have suddenly gained 10% and why Richmond suddenly lost 15%. I'm assuming … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: Before Round 21, 2018
3 upsets tipped this week. Hawthorn v Essendon: Despite Essendon getting the favour of most, I'm predicting a safe Hawthorn victory. This likely comes down to the venue, my (admittedly, a bit dodgy) venue algorithm thinks that Hawthorn is the 2nd best team at the MCG right now. Brisbane v N Melbourne: I think this … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 20, 2018
I'm running a bit late, aren't I? No big changes this week, with Essendon overtaking Adelaide and becoming slightly more likely to make finals. It's nice to still see that 8 teams have decent chances to reach the top 4. Richmond and West Coast are sitting pretty but the other two places are up for … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 19, 2018
1/2 upsets and 5/7 favourites. Not a bad strike rate, but not quite up to par. The MAE had a few blowouts too, but the closer margins made up for that. I was considering playing around with a new rating system this week that placed Richmond in first, but seeing as I haven't tested yet … Continue reading Tipping: After Round 19, 2018
2 underdogs tipped this week. Both are away teams, as is the standard here. First of all, Sydney have had a pretty bad season by their lofty standards. They've missed only 3 finals series since they came 12th in 1995, and they're at risk of doing it a 4th time this year. Essendon, on the … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 19, 2018
