Normally, I have some sort of semi-valid excuse for late posting, but not today. I was just very lazy. On the bright side, that means that I already know that one of my two underdog tips was correct, but I should act like I didn't know that already. Oh man, I hope Essendon and Hawthorn … Continue reading Tipping: Before (uh During) Round 23, 2018
Here are the changes this week, however, there are a few problems outlined by the next graphic. The above table outlines that it's virtually impossible for Sydney to be in 5th and GWS to be in 6th, but they were put there by ordering the mean placings. No real surprises here, Richmond are firm favourites … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 22, 2018
Alright, I'm running late (again) so I'll make this quick. Good round, all things considered. The tipping target is out of reach but I can still make it close with rounds like this. The MAE was a bit off thanks to Geelong, but I'll take it. As is obvious, the Geelong-Fremantle thrashing had a pretty … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 22, 2018
Sadly, the tipping target is now out of reach. I was hoping for a solid 72% accuracy this year but that looks to be unobtainable again. Although, considering only 69% of favourites have won this year, maybe that target was a little bit too high. Anyway, only one underdog tip this week, with Melbourne tipped … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 22, 2018
Here is my last mean position ladder of the year. Melbourne dropped off from their odd positioning last week and Sydney went the opposite way to overtake them. Hawthorn are now among the top 4 and have all but locked up a finals position, after GWS were the third team to do so over the … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 21, 2018
A solid performance on the weekend, outperforming every other Squiggle tipper in terms of tips and =2nd in terms of MAE. It's a pity the flawless Saturday didn't continue into Sunday, but still a great performance. Richmond have begun to close in on Melbourne's top spot, while Essendon have also had a handy increase in … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 21, 2018
Before we dive in - an explanation. I've had a virus this week, so I missed a few posts. Yes, again. In addition to that, something went seriously wrong with the simulations and I haven't had time to see why Melbourne's premiership chances have suddenly gained 10% and why Richmond suddenly lost 15%. I'm assuming … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: Before Round 21, 2018
