"If I see 'Great Friday' as a headline one more time..." Welcome to this insane week and a half of almost-daily footy. You can see smiley_mick's reddit post about that. Anyway, no upsets tipped for this week, and with only a very small handful of close games. Brisbane-Collingwood is closest of them all, and should … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 5, 2019
"Surprisingly, mostly predictable." A nice 6 tips and 21 MAE this week. 21 tips is well above average, beating punters by 3, the general public by 4 (17 is the average on footytips.com.au) and all other Squiggle models apart from AFL Lab. But tipping is fairly random at the best of times, and MAE is … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 4, 2019
"A tough round ahead." The underdogs of the round are Melbourne and Richmond. Both could feasibly win but will lose based purely on recent form. It does make the 18 point margin for Melbourne look very odd, though. Another game worth mentioning is Essendon vs. Brisbane. Brisbane have looked like the much better team this … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 4, 2019
"Can you stop playing Slime Rancher for 2 seconds and post the tipping results?" I'd like to think someone would say that if I had weirdly enthusiastic fans who were hanging out for this post. Anyway, I finally had a good round in the weekend just past. The Geelong, Hawthorn and Fremantle margins were almost … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 3, 2019
"Tough to tip." This will be a difficult round to tip, with only 3 tips by 3+ goals. Adelaide over Geelong was initially an upset tip, but apparently punters decided to change their mind before the game and Geelong ended up being favourites in the end. Outside of that, the other 8 tips are favourites. … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 3, 2019
"A slight improvement." It's been a really rough start to the year. Although I got one less tip this week, the MAE had a slight improvement while still being horrible. I achieved one out of two on the upset front, with West Coast thrashing GWS to keep my forever brittle confidence in my algorithm shattered. … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 2, 2019
"2 upsets a week keeps the doctor... not away." I'm a little under the weather this week so I'll keep this brief. Collingwood could be seen as an upset but the market is so split that you could go either way. GWS is definitely seen as an upset, and West Coast would've been tipped the … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 2, 2019
