This week, Richmond were the clear winners. They jumped from 25% to 36% in premiership odds to be outright favourites by a decent margin. Collingwood also jumped from 10% to 21% after a somewhat surprising win over Geelong to put themselves in a good position to achieve back-to-back grand finals. For the losers of the … Continue reading Predictions & Ratings: Before Finals Week 2, 2019
With the home & away season done, I guess I'm left with 2 regular graphics. Firstly, here are the regular finals simulations. Geelong are back as slim premiership favourites after trailing Brisbane by 0.2% last week. Brisbane's loss to Richmond has proven to be a big difference, with Brisbane losing 4.7%. But the biggest losers … Continue reading Predictions: Before Finals, 2019
A good round to finish the home & away season. Hawthorn had a huge upset, but the round was fairly predictable outside of that. I'm not sure that's a good thing, but we witnessed some good footy, which I guess it what matters in the end? We have a 4th top-rated team in 4 weeks. … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 23, 2019
The Bulldogs had the most improved standing this week, with Essendon just behind them. Both teams capitalised after their biggest rivals for top 8 positions (Adelaide and Port) both fell away. Essendon can no longer miss finals, while Bulldogs are the most likely team to take that last finals position. There isn't a lot of … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 22, 2019
A pretty good round, all in all. It was a round with 8 50/50 games and one near certainty, so getting the expected 5 tips correct isn't all that bad. My MAE managed to stay somewhat manageable, too. I'm going off-topic, but did anyone else just start feeling really bad for Gold Coast from watching … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 22, 2019
Good to see the fight for finals is still happening this late in the season. Port have had something of a renaissance this week, increasing their finals chances by a whole 41% thanks to their win over Sydney. But the teams with the biggest impact this week are arguably Essendon and the Bulldogs. In possibly … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 21, 2019
This is one of those sad weeks where the upsets didn't pay off, 0/2 with Bulldogs and St Kilda winning as favourites. I was very lucky to get my MAE back to a manageable state after a horror first 2 days with a MAE of 51.3. A (mostly) very predictable Sunday got me back where … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 21, 2019
