Sydney defeating Fremantle seems to be the only upset tip this week, although punters also seem to be leaning slightly towards Collingwood over GWS. Another tip that seems a little odd on paper is the margin for Carlton vs. Gold Coast, a whole 37 points. However, it doesn't seem too far away from consensus from … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 18, 2019
Another acceptable round. 1/2 on upset tips, with Essendon coming up trumps over North and GWS completely letting me down against Richmond. Luckily, this and the other 3 games that had an absolute error of over 30 points didn't ruin my MAE thanks to that aforementioned Essendon match and the exact margin I got in … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 17, 2019
There are 4 matches I want to draw attention to this week. First off is obviously West Coast vs. Collingwood. Despite Collingwood's form slump, both teams are currently in the top 3 on the ladder right now, the top 4 in my ratings and the top 4 on Squiggle's aggregate predicted ladder. West Coast is … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 17, 2019
With blow-outs and upsets, this wasn't a great round from any perspective. Essendon rescued the MAE from complete ruin, but it only made it look slightly nicer. Heaps of movement this week. Despite barely moving in a rating sense, Sydney dropped 3 positions thanks to Brisbane, North Melbourne and Richmond getting decent increases. Geelong have … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 16
No upsets tipped this week, although some matches have generated a little bit of disagreement on Squiggle. The main culprits are the 47th Showdown and Carlton-Melbourne. The Showdown is fair enough, both teams are looking pretty close and Port are seeking to bounce back after a pretty mediocre performance last week. Both also need to … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 16, 2019
The one upset-ish tip managed to work this week, many thanks to West Coast. Otherwise, however, it was a pretty bad week for tipping. My total of 5 tips is probably above average for the round, and the MAE wasn't bad. 7th to 13th is really tight this week, best exemplified by North Melbourne and … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 15, 2019
A bit late, but here are this week's tips. This week's most interesting game is Hawthorn-West Coast. Most of the models had tipped Hawthorn despite West Coast being the punter's favourites. This can happen when there's a narrative of a team playing better during the week. Whether the Eagles are "back" or not is irrelevant, … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 15, 2019
