Tipping results, Round 4 2022 This SUCKS. Ratings, Round 4 2022 Melbourne made some space between themselves and Brisbane. St Kilda, Richmond, Fremantle and Gold Coast had a good week while the Bulldogs, GWS, Hawthorn and Carlton have dipped significantly. Tipping, Round 5 2022 Here are the tips for this week. They're probably terrible. Whatever. … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings – After R4 & Before R5, 2022
Tipping results, Round 3 2022 A bit of a return to form for the models. Sadly it doesn't offset the damage done by round 2, but hopefully we'll make that ground up again as the season goes on. Ratings, Round 3 2022 There was a fair bit of movement this week, thanks to the thrashings … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings – After R3 & Before R4, 2022
A dodgy round from the models. Tipping results, round 2 The biggest miss was obviously Hawthorn wrecking Port. However, everyone missed that, so instead we can turn our attention to a game that's taken up most of my mind space for a lot of last week. North vs. West Coast was an extreme example of … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings – After R2 & Before R3, 2022
Tipping results, round 1 A nice start to the season. 6/9 is about par and it's a good start for MAE. Bits are a bit below what I'd hope for but SDR3 is 3rd on Squiggle and STMDNU would also be 3rd, so I'm happy with this start. SDR3 Ratings, round 1 Geelong's win over … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings – After R1 & Before R2, 2022
This is the part where I post a lot of tables and you nod along with me as if anyone can just look at these tables and perfectly judge whether each and every decimal point is correct. Let's start with the obvious one: ratings. Ratings - Pre-Season 2022 Melbourne predictably start on top after annihilating … Continue reading Tips, Ratings, Predictions & Fixture Difficulty – Pre-Season 2022
Uh. Hi! It's been a year and a half since I posted here. I took the entirety of 2021 off after stopping posting halfway through 2020. I think I was burnt out mid-lockdown, and I just decided to take it easy for a while. Anyone interested was probably following along on Squiggle anyway, I thought. … Continue reading Stattraction in 2022
The predictions are starting to really tighten up now, with only 5 or 6 matches left for each team. Round 11's winners: Geelong, Melbourne. Round 11's losers: St Kilda, Essendon, Richmond. Three clear premiership favourites have separated from the rest of the pack, but the race is still wide open. We can take a look … Continue reading Vague Predictions: Before Round 12, 2020
Well that sucked. The model invested in upsets this week, and the only one of those that was close was the draw. We got smashed in every metric this week, compared to other models. Geelong are back to the top and Melbourne jumped up by a lot.
A whopping three upsets tipped this week, because that's never gone wrong. Richmond, North Melbourne and Essendon are the underdogs that the model is favouring this week. Richmond and Essendon are very feasible upsets, less so for the North tip.
New this week, top 4 probabilities on the ladder and finals simulations return. The winners this week are Richmond and Geelong, while the losers are Essendon and Brisbane. We also see that there seems to be a clear top 8, now that the Bulldogs and Essendon have dropped to a 31% of making finals. The … Continue reading Vague Predictions: Before Round 11, 2020