Well, that looks like a difficult round to tip. Looking at tipping numbers, this is predicting 3 upsets; Sydney, North and Collingwood (although Sydney are only slim underdogs). All 3 seem like reasonable upsets to predict, Sydney/Melbourne should be close and it's easy to see Gold Coast or Hawthorn slipping up, but we'll find out.
Quite a lot of movement in the top 9 this week. Adelaide, again, couldn't sustain their 100% chance of finals. That's more of a fault with my system though. Once a team has a 100% chance of making finals, it shouldn't move again. I'll work on it, I guess. Despite how close the season is … Continue reading Ladder Prediction: After Round 14, 2017
Well, I guess it wasn't that bad of a week. The tipping target is out of reach, but I'm on track to reach my MAE goal. In ratings, there was little movement, in both placings and ratings. The biggest decrease went to Adelaide and the biggest increase went to GWS, 1st and 2nd respectively. Could … Continue reading Tipping/Rankings: After Round 14, 2017
This is quite out of date, as this was calculated before Adelaide lost to Hawthorn on Thursday and Sydney edged out Essendon last night, so I'm not going to say much here. Adelaide had a 100% chance of making finals, I wonder if that'll change next week.
Back to 9 games this week, which hopefully means a return to form for the tipping. We're tipping the 9 favourites this week, so no real need to explain any of the predictions. West Coast's and Port Adelaide's wins are predicted to be thrillers, though. 8 tips would be great, but I can't see it … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 14, 2017
Nope, not this week either. I'm happy we get a small MAE but my tipping has slipped a lot in the last 3 weeks, getting 3/6, 2/7 and 2/6. The tipping target for the season is all but out of reach now. We'd need to have an incredible tail end to the season to make … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 13, 2017
Hopefully we get back on track this week. Everywhere I look, the first 3 games of the round are predicted to be close ones. I gave West Coast the edge over Geelong due, mostly, to home ground advantage. North Melbourne vs. St Kilda is also expected to be a close game, played at both teams' … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 13, 2017
Welcome to the finals game, Essendon. I'll be removing that notice down the bottom in a few weeks, as the impact of 2016 has become fairly minimal at this point. Essendon moved from 16th to 11th in one week, thanks to their huge, unexpected win over Port Adelaide. Fremantle went the other way, from 11th … Continue reading Ladder Prediction: After Round 12, 2017
Well, we had our first shocker this weekend. 2 correct tips, and only 3 games within 30 points. We're now 7 tips behind our target, which is going to be very difficult to catch up over the next 11 round. Maybe even impossible. The minimum target for rounds with 9 games was 6, but I'll … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings:After Round 12, 2017
Back to usual this week, with the only underdog predictions being Sydney beating the Bulldogs and Collingwood beating Melbourne. Sydney are put in front of the Bulldogs due to Home ground advantage, while Collingwood are supposedly pretty good after 8-day breaks. Another peculiar prediction is GWS only beating Carlton by 8 points. However, I've found … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 12, 2017