Tipping: Before Round 2, 2018

I've realised over the past week that adjusting my model to get the smallest possible MAE means that we're going to have some very boring, conservative tips over this season. To most people, what I do is boring enough already without having small 1-30 point margins for every match thrown in as well. I might … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 2, 2018

Ladder Prediction: After Round 1, 2018

A win against a team predicted to be a finals contending rival has helped out Hawthorn immensely, as they look to be a team that'll be in the finals equation near the end of the season. It was in the middle of the ladder that we saw the most movement this week. My thoughts are … Continue reading Ladder Prediction: After Round 1, 2018

Tipping and Ratings: After Round 1, 2018

I didn't have a fantastic tipping performance, but it was still more reliable than a Max Gawn set shot. Only one complete failure in Collingwood vs. Hawthorn, where Collingwood were handily beaten despite most predicting a close match. Overall, the margins were quite close outside of GWS winning by far more than what was predicted. … Continue reading Tipping and Ratings: After Round 1, 2018

Ladder Prediction & Ratings: Before Round 1, 2018, and some housekeeping

Welcome to a fresh new season of AFL. This is my first post for the year, and it's being made 2 days before the season starts, so I have quite a lot of ground to cover. First up, some housekeeping. The site has been "re-branded" and a new name of Stattraction has been adopted. While … Continue reading Ladder Prediction & Ratings: Before Round 1, 2018, and some housekeeping