After a pretty good first 3 rounds, I have a bit of leeway with my MAE target for the moment. If I get below 30.58 for the remaining 180 matches of the season, I will have an overall MAE of below 30 points, which would be a first for me.
The conservative margins and tips continue. Although all of these tips look like they were made by looking at who is placed higher on the ladder, there is one tip that could be considered an upset. Hawthorn v Melbourne has split opinions, with punters deciding to side with Melbourne but Footytips tippers currently siding with Hawthorn. The Squiggle aggregate has Hawthorn as slight favourites, but it’s a close call (and if by chance you didn’t find this website as a result of it and don’t know otherwise, my model will now be making regular appearances at Squiggle – check it out).