4 one-sided beat-downs are expected this week, with the other 5 predicted to be fairly close. The 3 underdogs I've tipped this week are (naturally) in the close games. First of all, North Melbourne have had a fairly good run of things recently. They are firmly in finals contention as it currently stands but lost … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 18, 2018
The teams facing issues this week are Geelong, Hawthorn and North. All 3 dropped 11-16% of the finals chances last weekend and are left scrambling for 8th place. GWS picked up 17% to move up 3 places and move into 7th, while Melbourne put themselves firmly in the near certainties bracket. Any movement in premiership … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 17, 2018
6/9 isn't great, but on the bright side, both upsets I tipped were correct (Adelaide and West Coast) which means these tips were a lot better than anyone who only tipped upsets. The biggest movers this week were Port Adelaide, Geelong, Essendon, Brisbane and St Kilda. However, Port only moved up 3 spots because Collingwood, … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 17, 2018
Just over half an hour til the first game so I'll be quick. Adelaide's an underdog and West Coast is an underdog. The most important matches of the week are Collingwood v West Coast and N Melbourne v Sydney.
I've added a Rem. Wins column this week, showing roughly how many wins a team needs to get in the remainder of the home & away season to reach their expected wins. Considering my ratings algorithm ranks Gold Coast as the worst team in the competition by a fair distance, it's unsurprising that they have … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 16, 2018
A great round, with only one incorrect tip and a great MAE. I thought I fixed my overall MAE this week, but it's still significantly different to what Squiggle thinks my MAE is, 28.55. I wonder if I've accidentally entered some values wrong? That's the issue with doing everything manually through a spreadsheet (by the … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 16, 2018
No upsets this tipped for this week, and most of the matches look like pretty safe bets. However, there have been more upsets over the last few rounds and I wouldn't be surprised to see that continue. The sad news is that my weekly tipping target has gone above 7 and it's unlikely it can … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 16, 2018