Predictions: After Round 22, 2018

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Here are the changes this week, however, there are a few problems outlined by the next graphic.

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The above table outlines that it’s virtually impossible for Sydney to be in 5th and GWS to be in 6th, but they were put there by ordering the mean placings.

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No real surprises here, Richmond are firm favourites for the premiership. West Coast, probably the best remaining team alongside home Grand Final teams Melbourne, Hawthorn and Collingwood are Richmond’s biggest rivalries. But who’s most likely to play on September 29?

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Interestingly, despite Melbourne being third favourite for the premiership, they only appear once in the top 10 most likely grand final match-ups while 5th favourite Collingwood appear 3 times. This would signal that Melbourne are simulated to seriously challenge Richmond in a grand final featuring them, but I guess that would make some sense as Melbourne are ranked as the best attacking team in the competition right now.

Realistically, though, I don’t think Melbourne would do much damage against the Tigers without a restructuring of their defence.

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