I'm leading with my favourite graphic today: placings. Most of the final placing intervals closed by 1, but a few closed by 2. Namely, Essendon and Adelaide. Essendon had [3,10] last week, but are at [4,9] this week. This is due to them playing worse than expected against Gold Coast on the weekend, and their … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 19, 2019
A nice, solid round. In an effort to continue a long-running tradition, my MAE was much higher then it could've been. Jumping to their highest ratings of the season are Brisbane and Carlton. Falling to their lowest are Geelong, Essendon, Collingwood and Melbourne. The matches that generated the most movement were Carlton's upset win over … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 19, 2019
If you think about it for 2 milliseconds (and no longer), it's actually fine that I'm posting this halfway through the round. After all, AFLTables only updates after the rounds are over, so that means this update rate is still better than AFLTables' update rate.
It's probably far too late in the season to start posting about these, especially when we already have a pretty distinct combination of 8 teams likely to play finals. Oh well, I'll just smother this post with other tables and graphs to make up for it. Here come the SWARMS. Even with just 5 weeks … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 18, 2019
I've changed how targets work for tipping this week. Now I'm aiming to beat the amount of favourites that win every week. I did this because a target of 70% is seemingly unachievable this year, and I needed to start getting a few 9/9s to hit it before the end of the year. Some years … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 18, 2019
Sydney defeating Fremantle seems to be the only upset tip this week, although punters also seem to be leaning slightly towards Collingwood over GWS. Another tip that seems a little odd on paper is the margin for Carlton vs. Gold Coast, a whole 37 points. However, it doesn't seem too far away from consensus from … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 18, 2019
Another acceptable round. 1/2 on upset tips, with Essendon coming up trumps over North and GWS completely letting me down against Richmond. Luckily, this and the other 3 games that had an absolute error of over 30 points didn't ruin my MAE thanks to that aforementioned Essendon match and the exact margin I got in … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 17, 2019