Good to see the fight for finals is still happening this late in the season. Port have had something of a renaissance this week, increasing their finals chances by a whole 41% thanks to their win over Sydney. But the teams with the biggest impact this week are arguably Essendon and the Bulldogs. In possibly … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 21, 2019
This is one of those sad weeks where the upsets didn't pay off, 0/2 with Bulldogs and St Kilda winning as favourites. I was very lucky to get my MAE back to a manageable state after a horror first 2 days with a MAE of 51.3. A (mostly) very predictable Sunday got me back where … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 21, 2019
Some solid tipping. There were only 2 complete disasters, and they were fairly difficult to predict. A changing of the guard occurred this week, with Geelong kicked out of 1st for the first time this year. This is also, by far, the lowest rated 1st place team this year. This indicates the competition is very … Continue reading Tipping: After Round 20, 2019
No huge blockbusters this week, but there are some close games lined up that could determine a lot about how the ladder looks in a month's time. Adelaide vs. St Kilda is a big one. Adelaide have their fate in their own hands right now, so they need to convert these matches where they are … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 20, 2019
I'm leading with my favourite graphic today: placings. Most of the final placing intervals closed by 1, but a few closed by 2. Namely, Essendon and Adelaide. Essendon had [3,10] last week, but are at [4,9] this week. This is due to them playing worse than expected against Gold Coast on the weekend, and their … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 19, 2019
A nice, solid round. In an effort to continue a long-running tradition, my MAE was much higher then it could've been. Jumping to their highest ratings of the season are Brisbane and Carlton. Falling to their lowest are Geelong, Essendon, Collingwood and Melbourne. The matches that generated the most movement were Carlton's upset win over … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 19, 2019
If you think about it for 2 milliseconds (and no longer), it's actually fine that I'm posting this halfway through the round. After all, AFLTables only updates after the rounds are over, so that means this update rate is still better than AFLTables' update rate.