Quite a lot of movement this week, but I'll highlight three teams I thought were worth mentioning. North losing to Collingwood, a 50/50 game, by such a huge margin has left them scrambling for a finals position. They were in a decent position last week, but now they're effectively two wins outside of the 8 … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 18, 2018
On the flipside of last round, the underdog tips did not pay off this weekend. Luckily, my MAE is still on track - despite the dodgy tipping. Most of the movement was in the logjam in the mid/high tier of the competition. Hawthorn picked up 3 places, while Sydney went 3 places in the opposite … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 18, 2018
4 one-sided beat-downs are expected this week, with the other 5 predicted to be fairly close. The 3 underdogs I've tipped this week are (naturally) in the close games. First of all, North Melbourne have had a fairly good run of things recently. They are firmly in finals contention as it currently stands but lost … Continue reading Tipping: Before Round 18, 2018
The teams facing issues this week are Geelong, Hawthorn and North. All 3 dropped 11-16% of the finals chances last weekend and are left scrambling for 8th place. GWS picked up 17% to move up 3 places and move into 7th, while Melbourne put themselves firmly in the near certainties bracket. Any movement in premiership … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 17, 2018
6/9 isn't great, but on the bright side, both upsets I tipped were correct (Adelaide and West Coast) which means these tips were a lot better than anyone who only tipped upsets. The biggest movers this week were Port Adelaide, Geelong, Essendon, Brisbane and St Kilda. However, Port only moved up 3 spots because Collingwood, … Continue reading Tipping/Ratings: After Round 17, 2018
Just over half an hour til the first game so I'll be quick. Adelaide's an underdog and West Coast is an underdog. The most important matches of the week are Collingwood v West Coast and N Melbourne v Sydney.
I've added a Rem. Wins column this week, showing roughly how many wins a team needs to get in the remainder of the home & away season to reach their expected wins. Considering my ratings algorithm ranks Gold Coast as the worst team in the competition by a fair distance, it's unsurprising that they have … Continue reading Predictions: After Round 16, 2018