Tipping & Ratings: After Round 1, 2019

That was really exciting. I hate it. Round 1 was a deeply entertaining affair that meant it was very difficult to achieve the weekly targets. Given that it finished 2 tips better than the average bookie and both underdog tips (Geelong and Hawthorn) were correct, I'm happy. However, an MAE of 46 is a disappointing … Continue reading Tipping & Ratings: After Round 1, 2019

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Simulations & Fixture “Analysis”: Before Round 1, 2019

And the winner is number 2. To find a 2018 grand finalist, you'd have to look down to positions 4 and 5. Yes, my algorithm isn't too high on West Coast or Collingwood this year. Their chances of following up on 2018 with a premiership are still pretty good at 13% and 9%, respectively, but … Continue reading Simulations & Fixture “Analysis”: Before Round 1, 2019