Tipping/Ratings: Post-round 17, 2016

7 out of 9, with a MAE of 22.33.

Home Away Venue Predicted result Actual result
Sydney Hawthorn SCG Sydney, 14 Hawthorn, 5
Fremantle Geelong DS Geelong, 14 Geelong, 17
Richmond Essendon MCG Richmond, 48 Richmond, 19
N Melbourne Port Adelaide ES N Melbourne, 5 Port Adelaide, 28
W Bulldogs Gold Coast CS W Bulldogs, 37 W Bulldogs, 48
Adelaide Collingwood AO Adelaide, 40 Adelaide, 28
Carlton West Coast MCG West Coast, 46 West Coast, 7
St Kilda Melbourne ES St Kilda, 4 St Kilda, 36
Brisbane GWS Giants GAB GWS Giants, 46 GWS Giants, 79

Not bad, not bad. There were a few too many results outside of the 30-point buffer for my liking, but it could’ve been worse.

Position Team Overall rating (form) Change in rating Change in position
1 Adelaide 23.27 (+10) +0.09
2 Sydney 20.67 (+8) -0.51
3 West Coast 19.81 (+8) -0.79
4 Hawthorn 18.71 (+7) -1.30
5 GWS Giants 16.87 (+10) +3.48 +1
6 Geelong 14.37 (+4) +0.49 -1
7 W Bulldogs 12.78 (+3) +0.99
8 Port Adelaide 10.87 (+4) +0.98
9 N Melbourne 6.25 (-3) -1.85
10 Richmond -1.34 (-2) +0.11
11 Collingwood -4.46 (+4) +0.62 +1
12 Melbourne -5.01 (-2) -1.53 -1
13 St Kilda -11.46 (-1) +2.26 +1
14 Fremantle -13.42 (-4) -0.82 -1
15 Gold Coast -21.77 (-8) -0.59
16 Carlton -22.83 (-7) +0.75
17 Essendon -35.48 (-14) -0.04
18 Brisbane -39.63 (-17) -2.03

Considering Hawthorn won and Sydney lost, it seems weird that Hawthorn had a much bigger drop-off than Sydney. However, most of Hawthorn’s rating is their attack and Sydney’s rating is defence, so because both teams scored under the average points, Hawthorn lost more points. Brisbane keep hitting new lows, GWS are hitting new highs. The new short-form leader is GWS.

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